SM
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Moldova | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Moldova | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 49.03%. A win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 25.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Liechtenstein win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Latvia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Latvia.
| Result | ||
| Latvia | Draw | Liechtenstein |
49.03% ( 0.12) | 25.23% ( 0.03) | 25.74% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 51.83% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.95% ( -0.22) | 51.05% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.09% ( -0.2) | 72.91% ( 0.2) |
| Latvia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.16% ( -0.04) | 20.84% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.48% ( -0.06) | 53.52% ( 0.07) |
| Liechtenstein Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.47% ( -0.24) | 34.53% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.75% ( -0.26) | 71.25% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Latvia | Draw | Liechtenstein |
| 1-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.55% Total : 49.02% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.16% Total : 25.74% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 28 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 69 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 67 | 25 | 42 | 61 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 50 |
| 4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 49 |
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 26 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 47 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 42 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 42 |
| 8 | Brentford | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 42 |
| 9 | Fulham | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 27 |
| 14 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 26 |
| 15 | Everton | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 26 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 49 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 25 |
| 18 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
| 19 | Bournemouth | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 24 |
| 20 | Southampton | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 23 |
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