Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Iceland had a probability of 38.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.71%) and 0-2 (5.32%). The likeliest Iceland win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.