MX23RW : Tuesday, March 28 15:51:24
SM
Scotland vs. Spain: 2 hrs 53 mins
Jun 12, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Greece
2 - 0
Kosovo
Giakoumakis (71'), Mantalos (90+9')
Giakoumakis (80'), Mantalos (81'), Vlachodimos (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kryeziu (35')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Greece 3-0 Cyprus
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Six:
Last Game: Kosovo 3-2 N. Ireland
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Greece 3-1 Kosovo

Meetings between these two nations - fairly frequent over the past couple of years - have tended to be tightly contested, with Greece dictating play but their Kosovar counterparts often grinding out a draw. While the visitors have lost only one of their last six fixtures, that was against the Greeks last week, and the visitors can now complete the double in short succession, as they continue to flourish under new management. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 58.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Kosovo had a probability of 17.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Kosovo win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Greece would win this match.

Result
GreeceDrawKosovo
58.86% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 23.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 17.57% (0.058 0.06)
Both teams to score 45.96% (0.117 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.73% (0.1 0.1)53.27% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.17% (0.085999999999999 0.09)74.82% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Greece Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.16% (0.016000000000005 0.02)17.84% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.41% (0.030000000000001 0.03)48.59% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Kosovo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.94% (0.128 0.13)44.05% (-0.133 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.83% (0.105 0.11)80.17% (-0.11 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Greece 58.85%
    Kosovo 17.57%
    Draw 23.56%
GreeceDrawKosovo
1-0 @ 13.54% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 11.67% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.71% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.5% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 1% (-0.001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 58.85%
1-1 @ 11.1%
0-0 @ 7.86% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.92% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 23.56%
0-1 @ 6.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 4.55% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.64% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.24% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.07% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 17.57%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Greece 3-0 Cyprus
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Kosovo 0-1 Greece
Sunday, June 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: N. Ireland 0-1 Greece
Thursday, June 2 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Montenegro 1-0 Greece
Monday, March 28 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Romania 0-1 Greece
Friday, March 25 at 6.15pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Greece 1-1 Kosovo
Sunday, November 14 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Kosovo 3-2 N. Ireland
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Kosovo 0-1 Greece
Sunday, June 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Cyprus 0-2 Kosovo
Thursday, June 2 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Switzerland 1-1 Kosovo
Tuesday, March 29 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Kosovo 5-0 Burkina Faso
Thursday, March 24 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Greece 1-1 Kosovo
Sunday, November 14 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
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