Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 59.22%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 16.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.24%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-0 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for North Macedonia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for North Macedonia.