Finland 2-0 Montenegro - Nations League League B - Football

Although Finland were denied a win over Bosnia-Herzegovina in dramatic circumstances, they have won five of their seven home matches in the Nations League, and we think that they will edge out a Montenegro side, who have lost their last two away games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Montenegro had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Montenegro win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Finland would win this match.

Result
Finland	Draw	Montenegro
45.71% ( 0.06)	24.41% ( -0.02)	29.88% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 57.6% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.1% (

0.08)

44.9% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.74% (

0.07)

67.26% (

-0.07)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.23% (

0.05)

19.77% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.18% (

0.09)

51.81% (

-0.09)

Montenegro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.79% (

0.01)

28.21% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.1% (

0.01)

63.9% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Finland 45.71%

Montenegro 29.88%

Draw 24.41%

Finland	Draw	Montenegro
2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.33% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 45.71%	1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.41%	1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 29.88%

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Barnet	46	28	8	10	94	46	48	92
P	Bristol Rovers	46	25	16	5	73	34	39	91
3	Grimsby Town	46	25	11	10	74	40	34	86
4	Eastleigh	46	24	10	12	87	61	26	82
5	Forest Green Rovers Forest Green	46	22	16	8	80	54	26	79
6	Macclesfield Town Macclesfield	46	21	15	10	60	46	14	78
7	Woking	46	21	13	12	76	52	24	76
8	Dover Athletic Dover Athletic	46	19	11	16	69	58	11	68
9	Halifax Town Halifax	46	17	15	14	60	54	6	66
10	Gateshead	46	17	15	14	66	62	4	66
11	Wrexham	46	17	15	14	56	52	4	66
12	Chester FC Chester	46	19	6	21	64	76	-12	63
13	Torquay United Torquay Utd	46	16	13	17	63	60	3	61
14	Braintree Town Braintree	46	18	5	23	56	57	-1	59
15	Lincoln City Lincoln	46	16	10	20	62	71	-9	58
16	Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster	46	15	12	19	51	59	-8	57
17	Altrincham Altrincham	46	16	8	22	54	73	-19	56
18	Aldershot Town Aldershot	46	14	11	21	51	61	-10	53
19	Southport Southport	46	13	12	21	47	72	-25	51
20	Welling United Welling United	46	11	12	23	52	73	-21	45
R	Alfreton Town Alfreton	46	12	9	25	49	89	-40	45
R	AFC Telford United Telford	46	10	9	27	58	84	-26	39
R	Dartford Dartford	46	8	15	23	44	74	-30	39
R	Nuneaton Town	46	10	9	27	38	76	-38	36

Form, Standings, Stats

Finland

Montenegro

We said: Finland 1-0 Montenegro

Data Analysis

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