Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.63%) and 2-3 (4.97%). The likeliest Faroe Islands win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luxembourg would win this match.