Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-0 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.
