SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Solihull Moors | 44 | 38 | 87 |
| 4 | Halifax Town | 44 | 27 | 84 |
| 5 | Notts County | 44 | 29 | 82 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 22 | 77 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 44 | 18 | 74 |
| 8 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 44 | 27 | 73 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 36.89%. A win for Halifax Town had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Halifax Town win was 1-0 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Halifax Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
36.18% ( -0.48) | 26.93% ( 0.06) | 36.89% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 51.13% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.9% ( -0.24) | 54.1% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.47% ( -0.2) | 75.52% ( 0.2) |
| Halifax Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.29% ( -0.41) | 28.71% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.46% ( -0.51) | 64.53% ( 0.51) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.71% ( 0.13) | 28.28% ( -0.14) |
