Tonbridge Angels 2-3 Dartford - National League South - January 29, 2022 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Jan 29, 2022 at 3pm UK at Longmead Stadium

Wood (54'), Olutade (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Leonard (13', 20'), Jebb (86')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Dartford.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dartford win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dartford win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 2-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dartford would win this match.

Result
Tonbridge Angels	Draw	Dartford
33.09%	24.95%	41.97%

Both teams to score 57.23%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.96%

46.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.66%

68.34%

Tonbridge Angels Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.3%

26.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.04%

61.96%

Dartford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.08%

21.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.81%

55.19%

Score Analysis

Tonbridge Angels 33.09%

Dartford 41.97%

Draw 24.95%

Tonbridge Angels	Draw	Dartford
2-1 @ 7.75% 1-0 @ 7.73% 2-0 @ 5.1% 3-1 @ 3.41% 3-2 @ 2.59% 3-0 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.14% Total : 33.09%	1-1 @ 11.73% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 5.85% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.95%	1-2 @ 8.9% 0-1 @ 8.88% 0-2 @ 6.74% 1-3 @ 4.5% 0-3 @ 3.41% 2-3 @ 2.97% 1-4 @ 1.71% 0-4 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.42% Total : 41.97%

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Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Ebbsfleet	44	31	7	6	103	44	59	100
2	Dartford Dartford	43	24	7	12	78	46	32	79
3	Oxford City Oxford City	44	21	14	9	81	53	28	77
4	Chelmsford City Chelmsford City	43	22	8	13	64	46	18	74
5	St Albans City St Albans City	44	21	9	14	69	49	20	72
6	Braintree Town Braintree	44	19	13	12	63	54	9	70
7	Worthing	42	19	12	11	84	68	16	69
8	Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne	44	21	5	18	72	63	9	68
9	Havant & Waterlooville Havant & W'ville	43	18	11	14	75	63	12	65
10	Farnborough Town	42	18	9	15	55	47	8	63
11	Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels	43	18	9	16	63	66	-3	63
12	Bath City	43	17	10	16	59	53	6	61
13	Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead	44	15	14	15	48	54	-6	59
14	Chippenham Town Chippenham	44	14	16	14	54	64	-10	58
15	Taunton Town Taunton Town	42	15	10	17	44	46	-2	55
16	Hampton & Richmond Hampton	43	15	8	20	59	66	-7	53
17	Slough Town Slough	44	13	11	20	57	75	-18	50
18	Welling United Welling United	43	12	14	17	48	61	-13	49
19	Dover Athletic Dover Athletic	43	12	12	19	42	62	-20	48
20	Dulwich Hamlet Dulwich Hamlet	43	13	7	23	60	87	-27	46
21	Cheshunt	42	10	10	22	45	68	-23	40
22	Weymouth	43	11	6	26	52	77	-25	39
23	Hungerford Town Hungerford	42	9	9	24	43	64	-21	36
24	Concord Rangers	40	9	7	24	35	77	-42	34