Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 69.63%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 12.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 1-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Hungerford Town win it was 1-2 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.
