Oxford City 3-1 Havant & Waterlooville - National League South - January 29, 2022 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Jan 29, 2022 at 3pm UK at Marsh Lane

National League South | Gameweek 25

Oxford City

3 - 1

Havant & W'ville

Iaciofano (84'), Harmon (87'), Ashby (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Clifford (33')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Oxford City and Havant & Waterlooville.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.

Result
Oxford City	Draw	Havant & Waterlooville
46.37%	25.44%	28.19%

Both teams to score 53.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.69%

50.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.74%

72.25%

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.3%

21.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.15%

54.84%

Havant & Waterlooville Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.81%

32.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.32%

68.68%

Score Analysis

Oxford City 46.37%

Havant & Waterlooville 28.19%

Draw 25.44%

Oxford City	Draw	Havant & Waterlooville
1-0 @ 10.67% 2-1 @ 9.24% 2-0 @ 8.15% 3-1 @ 4.71% 3-0 @ 4.15% 3-2 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 1.8% 4-0 @ 1.59% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.37% Total : 46.37%	1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 6.98% 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.44%	0-1 @ 7.92% 1-2 @ 6.86% 0-2 @ 4.49% 1-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.66% Total : 28.19%

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Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Ebbsfleet	45	31	7	7	105	47	58	100
2	Dartford Dartford	45	25	7	13	82	50	32	82
3	Oxford City Oxford City	45	21	15	9	82	54	28	78
4	Chelmsford City Chelmsford City	45	23	9	13	66	47	19	78
5	Braintree Town Braintree	45	20	13	12	65	54	11	73
6	St Albans City St Albans City	45	21	9	15	70	51	19	72
7	Worthing	44	20	12	12	87	71	16	72
8	Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne	45	21	5	19	72	65	7	68
9	Havant & Waterlooville Havant & W'ville	44	18	12	14	76	64	12	66
10	Farnborough Town	44	19	9	16	58	48	10	66
11	Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels	44	18	10	16	65	68	-3	64
12	Bath City	44	17	10	17	60	55	5	61
13	Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead	45	15	15	15	48	54	-6	60
14	Chippenham Town Chippenham	45	14	17	14	56	66	-10	59
15	Taunton Town Taunton Town	44	16	10	18	47	51	-4	58
16	Hampton & Richmond Hampton	44	15	8	21	59	68	-9	53
17	Welling United Welling United	44	13	14	17	51	63	-12	52
18	Slough Town Slough	45	13	11	21	57	77	-20	50
19	Dover Athletic Dover Athletic	45	12	12	21	42	66	-24	48
20	Dulwich Hamlet Dulwich Hamlet	44	13	8	23	61	88	-27	47
21	Cheshunt	44	11	10	23	48	71	-23	43
22	Concord Rangers	43	12	7	24	41	79	-38	43
23	Weymouth	44	12	6	26	54	77	-23	42
R	Hungerford Town Hungerford	44	10	10	24	47	65	-18	40