Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 44%. A win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.22%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Hungerford Town win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.
