Hemel Hempstead Town 3-1 Bath City - National League South - January 15, 2022 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Jan 15, 2022 at 3pm UK at Vauxhall Ground

Scott-Morriss (38'), Hughes (64'), Addai (85')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Cooke (42')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Bath City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 44.9%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.41%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Hemel Hempstead Town	Draw	Bath City
31.75%	23.35%	44.9%

Both teams to score 62.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.95%

39.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.63%

61.37%

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.87%

24.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.56%

58.44%

Bath City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.24%

17.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.55%

48.45%

Score Analysis

Hemel Hempstead Town 31.75%

Bath City 44.9%

Draw 23.35%

Hemel Hempstead Town	Draw	Bath City
2-1 @ 7.49% 1-0 @ 6.09% 2-0 @ 4.33% 3-1 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 3.07% 3-0 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.83% Total : 31.75%	1-1 @ 10.53% 2-2 @ 6.47% 0-0 @ 4.29% 3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.35%	1-2 @ 9.1% 0-1 @ 7.41% 0-2 @ 6.4% 1-3 @ 5.24% 2-3 @ 3.73% 0-3 @ 3.69% 1-4 @ 2.27% 2-4 @ 1.61% 0-4 @ 1.59% Other @ 3.87% Total : 44.9%

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Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Ebbsfleet	37	26	6	5	88	38	50	84
2	Dartford Dartford	36	20	7	9	66	39	27	67
3	Braintree Town Braintree	36	17	11	8	54	42	12	62
4	Oxford City Oxford City	37	16	13	8	63	46	17	61
5	Havant & Waterlooville Havant & W'ville	34	18	6	10	64	47	17	60
6	Worthing	37	16	12	9	68	58	10	60
7	Chelmsford City Chelmsford City	36	17	8	11	46	34	12	59
8	Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels	37	17	6	14	56	55	1	57
9	Farnborough Town	33	15	8	10	42	32	10	53
10	St Albans City St Albans City	34	15	7	12	52	39	13	52
11	Bath City	36	14	10	12	49	43	6	52
12	Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne	37	16	4	17	60	58	2	52
13	Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead	36	13	10	13	39	43	-4	49
14	Dover Athletic Dover Athletic	36	11	11	14	36	47	-11	44
15	Welling United Welling United	35	10	13	12	43	51	-8	42
16	Slough Town Slough	36	10	10	16	42	64	-22	40
17	Taunton Town Taunton Town	30	9	9	12	32	34	-2	36
18	Hampton & Richmond Hampton	35	9	8	18	44	59	-15	35
19	Cheshunt	35	9	8	18	42	60	-18	35
20	Dulwich Hamlet Dulwich Hamlet	35	10	5	20	49	73	-24	35
21	Chippenham Town Chippenham	33	7	13	13	33	47	-14	34
22	Weymouth	34	9	4	21	42	62	-20	31
23	Hungerford Town Hungerford	34	7	8	19	31	44	-13	29
24	Concord Rangers	31	7	7	17	30	56	-26	28