Havant & Waterlooville 5-2 Concord Rangers - National League South - October 9, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

National League South | Gameweek 8

Oct 9, 2021 at 3pm UK

West Leigh Park

Havant & W'ville

5 - 2

Concord Rangers

Collins (3', 45+2' pen.), McCarthy (29'), Wright (35'), Wall (90+4')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Babalola (49'), Allen (74')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Havant & Waterlooville and Concord Rangers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 27.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Concord Rangers win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.

Result
Havant & Waterlooville	Draw	Concord Rangers
49.39%	22.89%	27.72%

Both teams to score 61.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.73%

39.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.4%

61.6%

Havant & Waterlooville Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.86%

16.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.41%

45.59%

Concord Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.18%

26.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.88%

62.12%

Score Analysis

Havant & Waterlooville 49.39%

Concord Rangers 27.72%

Draw 22.89%

Havant & Waterlooville	Draw	Concord Rangers
2-1 @ 9.48% 1-0 @ 7.9% 2-0 @ 7.2% 3-1 @ 5.76% 3-0 @ 4.38% 3-2 @ 3.79% 4-1 @ 2.63% 4-0 @ 2% 4-2 @ 1.73% 5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.58% Total : 49.39%	1-1 @ 10.39% 2-2 @ 6.23% 0-0 @ 4.33% 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.89%	1-2 @ 6.84% 0-1 @ 5.7% 0-2 @ 3.75% 1-3 @ 3% 2-3 @ 2.74% 0-3 @ 1.65% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.07% Total : 27.72%

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Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Ebbsfleet	45	31	7	7	105	47	58	100
2	Dartford Dartford	45	25	7	13	82	50	32	82
3	Oxford City Oxford City	45	21	15	9	82	54	28	78
4	Chelmsford City Chelmsford City	45	23	9	13	66	47	19	78
5	Worthing	45	21	12	12	89	71	18	75
6	Braintree Town Braintree	45	20	13	12	65	54	11	73
7	St Albans City St Albans City	45	21	9	15	70	51	19	72
8	Havant & Waterlooville Havant & W'ville	45	19	12	14	80	67	13	69
9	Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne	45	21	5	19	72	65	7	68
10	Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels	45	19	10	16	67	69	-2	67
11	Farnborough Town	45	19	9	17	59	50	9	66
12	Bath City	45	18	10	17	62	56	6	64
13	Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead	45	15	15	15	48	54	-6	60
14	Chippenham Town Chippenham	45	14	17	14	56	66	-10	59
15	Taunton Town Taunton Town	45	16	10	19	48	54	-6	58
16	Welling United Welling United	45	14	14	17	54	63	-9	55
17	Hampton & Richmond Hampton	45	15	8	22	59	71	-12	53
18	Slough Town Slough	45	13	11	21	57	77	-20	50
19	Dover Athletic Dover Athletic	45	12	12	21	42	66	-24	48
20	Dulwich Hamlet Dulwich Hamlet	45	13	9	23	61	88	-27	48
21	Weymouth	45	13	6	26	57	78	-21	45
22	Concord Rangers	45	12	8	25	44	83	-39	44
23	Cheshunt	45	11	10	24	48	73	-25	43
R	Hungerford Town Hungerford	45	10	10	25	48	67	-19	40