Chelmsford City 2-3 Havant & Waterlooville - National League South - October 30, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Oct 30, 2021 at 3pm UK at Melbourne Stadium

Jackson (21', 90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

McCarthy (59', 62', 70')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Havant & Waterlooville.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 46.36%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 28.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.

Result
Chelmsford City	Draw	Havant & Waterlooville
28.49%	25.14%	46.36%

Both teams to score 54.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.12%

48.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.02%

70.98%

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.78%

31.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.43%

67.57%

Havant & Waterlooville Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.89%

21.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.06%

53.94%

Score Analysis

Chelmsford City 28.49%

Havant & Waterlooville 46.36%

Draw 25.14%

Chelmsford City	Draw	Havant & Waterlooville
1-0 @ 7.67% 2-1 @ 6.95% 2-0 @ 4.47% 3-1 @ 2.7% 3-2 @ 2.1% 3-0 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.89% Total : 28.49%	1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 6.59% 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.14%	0-1 @ 10.25% 1-2 @ 9.28% 0-2 @ 7.97% 1-3 @ 4.81% 0-3 @ 4.13% 2-3 @ 2.8% 1-4 @ 1.87% 0-4 @ 1.61% 2-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.54% Total : 46.36%

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Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Ebbsfleet	29	21	3	5	67	30	37	66
2	Dartford Dartford	30	18	4	8	60	34	26	58
3	Havant & Waterlooville Havant & W'ville	28	16	5	7	57	39	18	53
4	Oxford City Oxford City	31	14	10	7	53	41	12	52
5	Worthing	30	14	10	6	52	40	12	52
6	St Albans City St Albans City	29	14	6	9	45	30	15	48
7	Chelmsford City Chelmsford City	29	14	6	9	36	27	9	48
8	Braintree Town Braintree	29	12	9	8	43	37	6	45
9	Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne	30	14	3	13	50	47	3	45
10	Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels	30	13	5	12	46	47	-1	44
11	Farnborough Town	25	11	6	8	30	25	5	39
12	Bath City	29	10	9	10	40	38	2	39
13	Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead	29	10	8	11	33	37	-4	38
14	Welling United Welling United	28	9	10	9	39	44	-5	37
15	Dover Athletic Dover Athletic	30	8	9	13	32	43	-11	33
16	Taunton Town Taunton Town	23	8	8	7	24	20	4	32
17	Dulwich Hamlet Dulwich Hamlet	28	9	5	14	43	53	-10	32
18	Slough Town Slough	28	7	9	12	36	53	-17	30
19	Cheshunt	29	7	6	16	33	51	-18	27
20	Hampton & Richmond Hampton	28	6	8	14	34	47	-13	26
21	Concord Rangers	26	7	5	14	26	44	-18	26
22	Chippenham Town Chippenham	25	6	7	12	23	36	-13	25
23	Weymouth	28	7	3	18	32	55	-23	24
24	Hungerford Town Hungerford	29	5	6	18	25	41	-16	21