Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Kettering Town had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Kettering Town win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
