Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Southport had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.
