Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 46.52%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
