Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 40%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
