MX23RW : Sunday, April 9 20:54:40
SM
Sunday, April 9
Sep 19, 2021 at 12.30am UK at BMO Field
Toronto
2 - 1
Nashville
Shaffelburg (18'), Gonzalez (79')
Bradley (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sapong (74')
Lovitz (32')

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 36.44%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
TorontoDrawNashville SC
36.44%27.97%35.59%
Both teams to score 47.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.86%58.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.2%78.8%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.47%30.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.24%66.76%
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.94%31.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.62%67.38%
Score Analysis
    Toronto 36.44%
    Nashville SC 35.59%
    Draw 27.96%
TorontoDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 11.25%
2-1 @ 7.8%
2-0 @ 6.68%
3-1 @ 3.09%
3-0 @ 2.64%
3-2 @ 1.8%
4-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 36.44%
1-1 @ 13.15%
0-0 @ 9.48%
2-2 @ 4.56%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.96%
0-1 @ 11.08%
1-2 @ 7.69%
0-2 @ 6.48%
1-3 @ 3%
0-3 @ 2.53%
2-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 35.59%

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