Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 57.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 20.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.