Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 27.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.