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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 61.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 18.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.28%) and 1-0 (7.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for an Austin FC win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Austin FC |
| 61.91% | 19.44% | 18.65% |
| Both teams to score 61.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
