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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for New York City FC in this match.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | New York City FC |
| 42.01% | 26.59% | 31.41% |
| Both teams to score 51.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
