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OC
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 40
Oct 25, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Florida Citrus Bowl
NE
Orlando City
2 - 2
New England
Nani (39'), Dike (50' pen.)
Mueller (47')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Buksa (81', 90+3')
Farrell (87')

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 46.92%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Orlando CityDrawNew England Revolution
46.92%23.42%29.66%
Both teams to score 60.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.54%40.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.16%62.83%
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.48%17.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.97%48.03%
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.87%26.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.81%61.19%
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 46.92%
    New England Revolution 29.66%
    Draw 23.42%
Orlando CityDrawNew England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.32%
1-0 @ 7.97%
2-0 @ 6.94%
3-1 @ 5.41%
3-0 @ 4.03%
3-2 @ 3.63%
4-1 @ 2.36%
4-0 @ 1.76%
4-2 @ 1.58%
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 46.92%
1-1 @ 10.7%
2-2 @ 6.26%
0-0 @ 4.58%
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.42%
1-2 @ 7.18%
0-1 @ 6.14%
0-2 @ 4.12%
1-3 @ 3.21%
2-3 @ 2.8%
0-3 @ 1.85%
1-4 @ 1.08%
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 29.66%

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Premier League Table

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati17124127161140
2Nashville SCNashville18105328131535
3New England RevolutionNew England189633122933
4Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1793528171130
5Columbus Crew1884636261028
6Atlanta UnitedAtlanta187743529628
7Orlando City177552320326
8DC United196582626023
9Charlotte FCCharlotte FC186482533-822
10CF MontrealMontreal177191927-822
11Toronto1831051721-419
12New York City FCNY City184771823-519
13New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls174761116-519
14Chicago Fire173862227-517
15Inter MiamiInter Miami1750121624-815

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1St Louis City1792634201429
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles168532516929
3Seattle SoundersSeattle188462417728
4San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes187652120127
5Dallas187562119226
6Houston DynamoHouston177372021-124
7Real Salt LakeSalt Lake186572028-823
8Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver175752721622
9Portland TimbersPortland185672024-421
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas195592127-620
11Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd175571522-720
12Austin FCAustin175481827-919
13Colorado RapidsColorado182791427-1313
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy163491427-1313
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