New York City FC 1-0 Chicago Fire - Major League Soccer - October 27, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 41

Oct 28, 2021 at 12.30am UK

Yankee Stadium

NY City

1 - 0

Chicago Fire

Castellanos (51' pen.)
Castellanos (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pineda (32')

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The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 73.78%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 10.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 3-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.08%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (3.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	Chicago Fire
73.78%	15.49%	10.72%

Both teams to score 54.88%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.82%

32.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.22%

53.77%

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.54%

7.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.19%

26.81%

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.3%

40.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.71%

77.28%

Score Analysis

New York City FC 73.78%

Chicago Fire 10.72%

Draw 15.49%

New York City FC	Draw	Chicago Fire
2-0 @ 10.22% 2-1 @ 9.2% 3-0 @ 8.85% 3-1 @ 7.96% 1-0 @ 7.88% 4-0 @ 5.75% 4-1 @ 5.17% 3-2 @ 3.58% 5-0 @ 2.99% 5-1 @ 2.68% 4-2 @ 2.32% 6-0 @ 1.29% 5-2 @ 1.21% 6-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.53% Total : 73.78%	1-1 @ 7.08% 2-2 @ 4.13% 0-0 @ 3.03% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.17% Total : 15.49%	1-2 @ 3.18% 0-1 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 1.24% 0-2 @ 1.23% 1-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.39% Total : 10.72%

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Eastern Conference

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	FC Cincinnati Cincinnati	33	20	8	5	55	37	18	68
2	Orlando City	33	17	9	7	53	39	14	60
3	Philadelphia Union Philadelphia	33	15	10	8	56	39	17	55
4	Columbus Crew	33	15	9	9	65	45	20	54
5	New England Revolution New England	33	14	10	9	56	45	11	52
6	Atlanta United Atlanta	33	13	11	9	64	51	13	50
7	Nashville SC Nashville	33	13	10	10	39	31	8	49
8	CF Montreal Montreal	33	12	5	16	35	50	-15	41
9	DC United	34	10	10	14	45	49	-4	40
10	New York Red Bulls NY Red Bulls	33	10	10	13	35	39	-4	40
11	Charlotte FC Charlotte FC	33	9	13	11	44	52	-8	40
12	Chicago Fire	33	10	10	13	39	50	-11	40
13	New York City FC NY City	33	8	14	11	34	39	-5	38
14	Inter Miami Inter Miami	33	9	7	17	41	53	-12	34
15	Toronto	33	4	10	19	26	57	-31	22

Western Conference

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	St Louis City	33	17	5	11	62	43	19	56
2	Los Angeles FC Los Angeles	33	14	9	10	53	38	15	51
3	Seattle Sounders Seattle	33	13	11	9	39	32	7	50
4	Houston Dynamo Houston	33	13	9	11	48	37	11	48
5	Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver	33	12	11	10	54	47	7	47
6	Real Salt Lake Salt Lake	33	13	8	12	47	50	-3	47
7	Dallas	33	10	13	10	37	36	1	43
8	San Jose Earthquakes Earthquakes	33	10	13	10	38	42	-4	43
9	Portland Timbers Portland	33	11	10	12	45	55	-10	43
10	Minnesota United Minnesota Utd	33	10	11	12	45	48	-3	41
11	Sporting Kansas City Kansas	33	11	8	14	45	50	-5	41
12	Austin FC Austin	33	10	8	15	48	54	-6	38
13	Los Angeles Galaxy LA Galaxy	33	8	12	13	50	63	-13	36
14	Colorado Rapids Colorado	33	5	12	16	26	53	-27	27