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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 40
Oct 17, 2021 at 3.30am UK
The Home Depot Center
PT
LA Galaxy
2 - 1
Portland
Hernandez (62'), Kljestan (90+2' pen.)
Hernandez (38'), Kljestan (87'), Joveljic (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Blanco (72')
Bonilla (44'), Chara (65')

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 55.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 21.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawPortland Timbers
55.87%22.56%21.58%
Both teams to score 55.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.2%43.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.82%66.18%
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.48%15.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.57%44.43%
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.76%34.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.06%70.94%
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles Galaxy 55.87%
    Portland Timbers 21.58%
    Draw 22.56%
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawPortland Timbers
1-0 @ 9.9%
2-1 @ 9.89%
2-0 @ 9.22%
3-1 @ 6.14%
3-0 @ 5.73%
3-2 @ 3.29%
4-1 @ 2.86%
4-0 @ 2.67%
4-2 @ 1.53%
5-1 @ 1.07%
5-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 55.87%
1-1 @ 10.61%
0-0 @ 5.31%
2-2 @ 5.3%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.56%
0-1 @ 5.7%
1-2 @ 5.69%
0-2 @ 3.05%
1-3 @ 2.03%
2-3 @ 1.89%
0-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 21.58%

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Premier League Table

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati31198453351865
2Orlando City31159749371254
3New England RevolutionNew England301410651371452
4Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia31149853371651
5Columbus Crew31148962431950
6Atlanta UnitedAtlanta311310861471449
7Nashville SCNashville3012993628845
8New York City FCNY City32814103437-338
9DC United32910134346-337
10Chicago Fire31910123547-1237
11CF MontrealMontreal31114163048-1837
12New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls31810133038-834
13Inter MiamiInter Miami3096153846-833
14Charlotte FCCharlotte FC30712113750-1333
15Toronto31410172651-2522

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1St Louis City321751062402256
2Seattle SoundersSeattle31121093731646
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles30129944341045
4Houston DynamoHouston31128114235744
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver311110105147443
6Real Salt LakeSalt Lake30127114245-343
7Portland TimbersPortland321110114451-743
8San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes321012103741-442
9Dallas311011103534141
10Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd31911113941-238
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas32108144248-638
12Austin FCAustin3198144350-735
13Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy30811114554-935
14Colorado RapidsColorado31511152447-2326
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