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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 45.58% | 25.87% | 28.55% |
| Both teams to score 52.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
