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Jun 26, 2022 at 1am UK at New Fort Lauderdale Stadium
Inter Miami
2 - 1
Minnesota Utd
Vassilev (87', 90')
Yedlin (16'), Lowe (46'), Gregore (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Amarilla (65')
Taylor (6'), Fragapane (43'), Hayes (72'), Kallman (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Inter Miami 2-1 Minnesota United

Minnesota United have struggled to get going in recent weeks, managing just one win since the start of May. Inter Miami, meanwhile, head into the game as one of the most in-form sides at home in the east and we predict they will make use of their home advantage once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Inter Miami in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Inter Miami.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawMinnesota United
38.65% (0.268 0.27) 26.42% (0.105 0.11) 34.93% (-0.376 -0.38)
Both teams to score 52.69% (-0.397 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.92% (-0.483 -0.48)52.08% (0.48 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.19% (-0.419 -0.42)73.8% (0.416 0.42)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.68% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)26.32% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.55% (-0.102 -0.1)61.45% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.51% (-0.46299999999999 -0.46)28.49% (0.46 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.73% (-0.585 -0.59)64.26% (0.58300000000001 0.58)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 38.64%
    Minnesota United 34.93%
    Draw 26.42%
Inter MiamiDrawMinnesota United
1-0 @ 10% (0.161 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.39% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.68% (0.099 0.1)
3-1 @ 3.73%
3-0 @ 2.97% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 38.64%
1-1 @ 12.56% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.5% (0.142 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 9.41% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.89% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.91% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.3% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.47% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 34.93%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Atlanta 2-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, June 19 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Portland
Sunday, May 29 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, May 22 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 Inter Miami
Thursday, May 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-2 DC United
Sunday, May 15 at 2.15am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-0 Inter Miami
Saturday, May 7 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 2-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, June 19 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 0-1 NY City
Sunday, May 29 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-2 Minnesota Utd
Monday, May 23 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 LA Galaxy
Thursday, May 19 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 3-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, May 15 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 0-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 8 at 1am in Major League Soccer
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Major League Soccer Table

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia23129240152545
2New York City FCNY City22126441212042
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls2210663425936
4CF MontrealMontreal2211383636036
5Columbus Crew217952722530
6Orlando City228682631-530
7FC CincinnatiCincinnati237883742-529
8New England RevolutionNew England226973234-227
9Chicago Fire2376102428-427
10Charlotte FCCharlotte FC2282122531-626
11Inter MiamiInter Miami2275102637-1126
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta226792933-425
13Toronto2365123039-923
14DC United2053122643-1718

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia23129240152545
2New York City FCNY City22126441212042
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls2210663425936
4CF MontrealMontreal2211383636036
5Columbus Crew217952722530
6Orlando City228682631-530
7FC CincinnatiCincinnati237883742-529
8New England RevolutionNew England226973234-227
9Chicago Fire2376102428-427
10Charlotte FCCharlotte FC2282122531-626
11Inter MiamiInter Miami2275102637-1126
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta226792933-425
13Toronto2365123039-923
14DC United2053122643-1718
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