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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 54.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 21.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Austin FC |
| 54.41% | 23.6% | 21.99% |
| Both teams to score 52.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
