FC Cincinnati 3-4 Chicago Fire - Major League Soccer - October 20, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Oct 21, 2021 at 12.30am UK at Nippert Stadium

Cincinnati

3 - 4

Chicago Fire

Acosta (28'), Vazquez (36'), Blackett (90+1')
Bailey (30'), Gyau (48'), Cameron (80')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Beric (14', 17'), Medran (71'), Stojanovic (90+3')
Kappelhof (45+1'), Navarro (68'), Slonina (79')

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The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.

Result
FC Cincinnati	Draw	Chicago Fire
34.87%	26.77%	38.35%

Both teams to score 51.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.47%

53.52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.96%

75.04%

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.77%

29.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.82%

65.18%

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.84%

27.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.44%

62.56%

Score Analysis

FC Cincinnati 34.87%

Chicago Fire 38.35%

Draw 26.77%

FC Cincinnati	Draw	Chicago Fire
1-0 @ 9.76% 2-1 @ 7.83% 2-0 @ 6.01% 3-1 @ 3.21% 3-0 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.87%	1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 7.94% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.77%	0-1 @ 10.34% 1-2 @ 8.3% 0-2 @ 6.74% 1-3 @ 3.6% 0-3 @ 2.93% 2-3 @ 2.22% 1-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.09% Total : 38.35%

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Eastern Conference

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Atlanta United Atlanta	4	3	1	0	11	3	8	10
2	New England Revolution New England	4	3	0	1	5	4	1	9
3	FC Cincinnati Cincinnati	4	2	2	0	6	4	2	8
4	Nashville SC Nashville	4	2	1	1	4	1	3	7
5	New York City FC NY City	4	2	1	1	5	5	0	7
6	Philadelphia Union Philadelphia	4	2	0	2	7	6	1	6
7	Inter Miami Inter Miami	4	2	0	2	4	3	1	6
8	Toronto	4	1	2	1	6	5	1	5
9	New York Red Bulls NY Red Bulls	4	1	2	1	3	3	0	5
10	Orlando City	4	1	2	1	3	3	0	5
11	DC United	4	1	1	2	6	8	-2	4
12	Columbus Crew	4	1	1	2	5	7	-2	4
13	CF Montreal Montreal	4	1	0	3	3	7	-4	3
14	Charlotte FC Charlotte FC	4	1	0	3	3	8	-5	3
15	Chicago Fire	3	0	2	1	4	5	-1	2

Western Conference

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	St Louis City	4	4	0	0	11	4	7	12
2	Los Angeles FC Los Angeles	3	2	1	0	7	2	5	7
3	Seattle Sounders Seattle	4	2	1	1	6	1	5	7
4	Dallas	4	2	1	1	6	4	2	7
5	Minnesota United Minnesota Utd	3	2	1	0	4	2	2	7
6	Austin FC Austin	4	2	0	2	5	6	-1	6
7	San Jose Earthquakes Earthquakes	4	2	0	2	4	6	-2	6
8	Houston Dynamo Houston	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3
9	Real Salt Lake Salt Lake	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3
10	Portland Timbers Portland	4	1	0	3	5	10	-5	3
11	Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver	4	0	2	2	4	6	-2	2
12	Los Angeles Galaxy LA Galaxy	3	0	2	1	2	4	-2	2
13	Sporting Kansas City Kansas	4	0	2	2	1	3	-2	2
14	Colorado Rapids Colorado	4	0	1	3	1	7	-6	1