Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 54.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 22.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.
