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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 55.02%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 23.07% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dallas | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 55.02% | 21.9% | 23.07% |
| Both teams to score 59.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
