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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | New York City FC |
| 44.13% | 25.78% | 30.09% |
| Both teams to score 53.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
