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Preview: Liverpool vs. Real Madrid - prediction, team news, lineups

:Headline: Preview: Liverpool vs. Real Madrid - prediction, team news, lineups:
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Champions League clash between Liverpool and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Sports Mole

Forty-one years on from their inaugural battle in the beautiful city of Paris, Liverpool and Real Madrid reconvene just north of the French capital in Saint-Denis for the 2021-22 Champions League final on Saturday.

The Reds have a seventh title in Europe's primary competition in their sights this weekend, while continental veterans Los Blancos are aiming to get their hands on the trophy for a record-extending 14th time.

Inter Milan, Benfica and Villarreal have been sent packing by Jurgen Klopp's side en route to the Stade de France, while Carlo Ancelotti's men have dumped out a trio of heavyweights in Chelsea, Paris Saint-Germain and Manchester City.

Match preview

EFL Cup? Check. FA Cup? Check. Premier League? Close but no cigar. It would not have been a final weekend in the English top flight without some twists here and some turns there, but the Anfield faithful must now rethink their plans for a quadruple trophy parade.

While Man City were busy being rocked to the core by Aston Villa and Steven Gerrard - hoping to help his former club achieve something that he never did during his days in the red jersey - a plucky Wolverhampton Wanderers side would frustrate Klopp's side and their disgruntled supporters.

The double cup winners ultimately did what they needed to do with a 3-1 success, but the Citizens' astounding turnaround against Villa ensured that the Premier League crown would remain in the grip of Pep Guardiola and leave Liverpool to rue what could have been.

Ending such a promising campaign with only two cups in the cabinet would not prove to satiate the travelling Liverpool party, and they were forced to navigate a scare against European specialist Unai Emery and his giant-killing Villarreal side in the semi-finals, but no white flags were waved at La Ceramica.

Saturday's encounter will mark the 10th time that Liverpool have appeared in the final of the European Cup/Champions League, and some may argue that they have enjoyed a relatively favourable run to the showpiece event, but as Klopp will surely stress, there are no easy fixtures in this competition.

While Inter Milan did shut out the Reds in a 1-0 Anfield win that ended up proving inconsequential, Liverpool have scored at least twice in the rest of their Champions League fixtures this term - no mean feat amid the unforgiving schedule that Klopp always has plenty to say about.

Furthermore, that loss to the Nerazzurri represents the Reds' last defeat in any competition, with Klopp going on to oversee an 18-game unbeaten run in all tournaments since that defeat on March 8, including 10 wins from their last 11.

Numerous members of the current Liverpool crop collected runners-up medals in 2018 after that fateful night in Kyiv against Real Madrid, and revenge is firmly on the agenda for some of them - none more so than Mohamed Salah following his injury and tearful substitution.

Klopp has affirmed that the need for vengeance is not playing heavily on his mind, but a 33% win percentage against Real Madrid represents the German's worst against a single opponent, and ending that hoodoo on Saturday would certainly help make up for the quadruple dream failing to turn into a reality. His opposite number, however, knows how to win a Champions League.

Overturning a two-goal deficit against serial Champions League underachievers PSG is one thing. Dumping out the reigning champions after going 3-0 down at the Santiago Bernabeu is another. Overcoming Manchester City after letting in four goals at the Etihad Stadium? Carlo Ancelotti, take a bow.

Possessing a striker as lethal as Karim Benzema and a winger fulfilling his bags of potential in Vinicius Junior has propelled Los Blancos to the unlikeliest of comebacks in this season's tournament, but the contributions of another Brazilian starlet cannot be forgotten either.

Seemingly down and out after 90 minutes against Man City, who moved into a 5-3 aggregate lead in the semi-finals thanks to Riyad Mahrez's smart finish, Rodrygo netted twice in the space of two minutes to force extra time and leave the home supporters who exited early with egg on their faces.

Fans' attempts to return to their seats for the extra-time period proved fruitless, but Real's efforts to reach the final did not, as record-breaker Benzema's penalty - not a Panenka one this time - ensured that the Spanish champions would board the plane to France and keep their continental campaign going right to the final whistle.

Understandably taking their foot off the gas slightly in La Liga having wrapped up the title with weeks to spare, Real only managed to win one of their final four top-flight fixtures in 2021-22, and their matchday 38 ended in a dull goalless stalemate with Real Betis in the capital.

One should certainly not take Real's recent results at face value, with Ancelotti not afraid to rest and rotate his resources ahead of Saturday's final, in which the most successful team in European history will aim to lift the trophy for a 14th time and end a four-year drought in the competition.

Los Blancos have suffered plenty of scares along the way, but their European pedigree is not up for debate, especially seeing as they have won each of their last seven European Cup/Champions League finals since going down 1-0 to Liverpool in 1981 - potentially a good omen for those in red.

Ancelotti will also be wary of the fact that his side have failed to keep a single clean sheet in this season's Champions League knockout stages - albeit while scoring 14 of their own in their last five continental matches - and the wily Italian will aim to complete his own quadruple against Liverpool in Saint-Denis.

Indeed, the Real boss would become the most successful manager in Champions League history with a fourth success in the tournament - leaving Zinedine Zidane and Bob Paisley in his wake - but Klopp travels to the Stade de France fully intent on taking a leaf out of the latter's book.

Liverpool Champions League form:
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W

Liverpool form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Real Madrid Champions League form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W

Real Madrid form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D

Team News

Having started to string together a consistent run of matches and improve his fitness levels, the luckless Thiago Alcantara headed straight down the tunnel before the end of the first half against Wolves after sustaining an Achilles injury.

Klopp was initially pessimistic about his chances of featuring in the final, but the Reds boss has since changed his tune, and there is renewed hope over Thiago's availability for the contest - whether he can play the full 90 or 120 minutes is another question entirely.

On another bright note, Fabinho's hamstring injury is expected to let up in time after he returned to team training on Wednesday, while Joe Gomez should also be a part of the squad after bouncing back quickly from an ankle knock.

Virgil van Dijk and Mohamed Salah were both fit enough for places on the bench last weekend after their FA Cup final knocks and will expect to return to the first XI here, with the latter bagging the Reds' second to share the Golden Boot with Son Heung-min.

Diogo Jota is sure to make way for Salah, while Ibrahima Konate was largely at fault for Wolves' quickfire opener at the weekend, but the Champions League regular will aim to hold his spot over Joel Matip for the final.

However, cult hero Divock Origi has played his last game for the club after sustaining a muscular problem in training, meaning that there will be no farewell 2019 moment for the celebrated Belgian ahead of an anticipated free transfer to AC Milan.

In stark contrast, Real boss Ancelotti will hope to have everyone fit and available for his side's 17th European Cup/Champions League final, with David Alaba making his return to training in midweek following an adductor issue.

Alaba was absent from the squad to face Betis but should take his rightful place in the first XI here barring any setbacks - demoting Nacho Fernandez down to the bench in the process.

Champions League veteran Marcelo has also shaken off fitness woes to make himself available but will once again play second fiddle to Ferland Mendy, while Eder Militao will expect to hold his spot despite calls for the Brazilian to be dropped.

As impressive as Eduardo Camavinga has been off the bench during Real's run to the final, the 19-year-old would only edge out Casemiro, Toni Kroos or Luka Modric should one member of the midfield trio pick up an injury before Saturday.

The Liverpool high line is made for the likes of Vinicius and Rodrygo to run in behind, but the latter's incredible impact as a substitute may tempt Ancelotti into continuing with Federico Valverde slightly further forward.

Another hat-trick for Benzema in the showpiece event would see him break the record for the most Champions League goals in a single campaign - currently held by Cristiano Ronaldo's 17 in 2013-14 - while he only needs to make the net ripple once to becoem the outright third-highest goalscorer in the competition as he sits level with Robert Lewandowski on 86.

Liverpool possible starting lineup:
Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Konate, Van Dijk, Robertson; Henderson, Fabinho, Thiago; Salah, Mane, Diaz

Real Madrid possible starting lineup:
Courtois; Carvajal, Militao, Alaba, Mendy; Kroos, Casemiro, Modric; Valverde, Benzema, Vinicius Jr

Head To Head

Real Madrid and Liverpool have previously met on eight occasions in European competition, with Los Blancos picking up four wins compared to a trio of successes for the Reds, while the most recent encounter ended in a draw.

Alan Kennedy's winner propelled Liverpool to the European Cup over Real Madrid in the 1981 final, which would kickstart a run of three consecutive wins for the Merseyside club after a 5-0 aggregate success in the 2008-09 last-16.

However, Liverpool have since lost four and drawn one of their last five against the Spanish champions, including the 2018 final - remembered for all the right reasons by Gareth Bale and all the wrong reasons by Loris Karius.

We say: Liverpool 2-2 Real Madrid (A.E.T - Liverpool to win on penalties)

Talk about a tough game to call. Keeping the likes of Benzema, Vinicius, Salah and Mane at bay over the course of 90 or 120 minutes is nigh on impossible, and the Reds attackers in particular should feel confident about bagging a couple of strikes against a shaky Blancos backline.

However, Benzema only needs one half-chance to restore parity for Real, and Liverpool's risky defensive strategy will always leave them vulnerable to the pace and trickery of Ancelotti's two Brazilian starboys.

Having Thiago and Fabinho fit to start the game would be a mammoth boost for Klopp, whose side may be taken all the way to spot kicks again, and we believe that Liverpool's recent experience from 12 yards will help them get their hands on Europe's biggest prize for the seventh time and end the Real fairytale.

For data analysis of the most likely results, scorelines and more for this match please click here.

Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data

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