Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Bastia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.