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Ligue 2 | Gameweek 26
Feb 26, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Caen
2 - 1
Bastia
da Costa (27', 53')
Lepenant (65')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Salles-Lamonge (15')
Santelli (7'), Palun (41'), Le Cardinal (75'), Vincent (90+3')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Bastia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.

Result
CaenDrawBastia
45.06%27.06%27.87%
Both teams to score 48.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.22%56.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.28%77.71%
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.9%25.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.2%59.8%
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.13%35.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.36%72.64%
Score Analysis
    Caen 45.06%
    Bastia 27.87%
    Draw 27.06%
CaenDrawBastia
1-0 @ 12.44%
2-1 @ 8.82%
2-0 @ 8.6%
3-1 @ 4.06%
3-0 @ 3.96%
3-2 @ 2.08%
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-0 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 45.06%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 9%
2-2 @ 4.52%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.06%
0-1 @ 9.23%
1-2 @ 6.54%
0-2 @ 4.73%
1-3 @ 2.24%
0-3 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 27.87%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Laval1610331911833
2Angers1694327151231
3Auxerre1685333181529
4Grenoble167722116528
5PauPau167542827126
6GuingampGuingamp166642114724
7Ajaccio166641615124
8Saint-EtienneSt Etienne167361615124
9Rodez AFRodez AF166552623323
10AmiensAmiens166551416-223
11Paris FCParis FC166281820-220
12Caen165472424019
13Annecy164751922-319
14Concarneau165471621-519
15Bordeaux165471622-618
16Bastia164571420-617
17Troyes163761719-216
18DunkerqueDunkerque163491324-1113
19Quevilly162682025-512
20Valenciennes16187920-1111
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