MX23RW : Sunday, January 29 00:54:23
SM
Sunday, January 29
May 14, 2022 at 8pm UK at Stade de l'Aube
Troyes
1 - 3
Lens
Biancone (14')
Kabore (9')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Danso (42'), Kalimuendo (45'), Clauss (71')
Medina (19'), Frankowski (78')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 2-2 Monaco
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Troyes 1-2 Lens

With the hosts now feeling comfortable and the visitors fighting to keep their European hopes alive, we lean towards an away win at the weekend. Lens find themselves in an impressive run of form, and we see them continuing that with a victory being much-needed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 36.31%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
TroyesDrawLens
35.71% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 27.98% (0.0010000000000012 0) 36.31% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.86% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.82% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)58.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.17% (-0.004999999999999 -0)78.83% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.99% (0.010000000000005 0.01)31.01% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.68% (0.012 0.01)67.32% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.37% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)30.63% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.12% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)66.87% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Troyes 35.71%
    Lens 36.3%
    Draw 27.97%
TroyesDrawLens
1-0 @ 11.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.7% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.01% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 35.71%
1-1 @ 13.15%
0-0 @ 9.5% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.97%
0-1 @ 11.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.78% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 6.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 36.3%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: PSG 2-2 Troyes
Sunday, May 8 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 3-0 Lille
Sunday, May 1 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-0 Troyes
Sunday, April 24 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 0-1 Clermont
Wednesday, April 20 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 1-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, April 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 2-1 Troyes
Sunday, April 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 1-2 Lens
Sunday, May 8 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 2-2 Nantes
Saturday, April 30 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 1-1 Lens
Saturday, April 23 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 2-0 Montpellier
Wednesday, April 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-2 Lens
Saturday, April 16 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 3-0 Nice
Sunday, April 10 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
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Ligue 1 Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG19152248143447
2Lens20136133141945
3Marseille20134340172343
4MonacoMonaco20115443271638
5Rennes20114537221537
6Lorient2010553330335
7Lille19104535251034
8Clermont198472427-328
9Lyon197482823525
10Nice196762220225
11Reims1951042123-225
12Toulouse196582934-523
13NantesNantes194962124-321
14Troyes204793141-1019
15Montpellier HSCMontpellier1952122840-1217
16StrasbourgStrasbourg192982434-1015
17Brest1936101934-1515
18Ajaccio1943121634-1815
19Auxerre1934121641-2513
20Angers1922151741-248
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