Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 55.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 20.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.
