Strasbourg 1-0 Lens - Ligue 1 - April 3, 2022 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

A closely-fought contest is set to be played out between two evenly-matched sides on Sunday, though both teams will fancy their chances of success. Considering Strasbourg's recent unbeaten run and their threat in the final third, they may just do enough to claim a slender victory on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Lens had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Strasbourg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Strasbourg.

Result
Strasbourg	Draw	Lens
44.12%	26.19%	29.7%

Both teams to score 51.7%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.45%

52.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.79%

74.21%

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.3%

23.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.18%

57.82%

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.77%

32.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.27%

68.73%

Score Analysis

Strasbourg 44.11%

Lens 29.7%

Draw 26.18%

Strasbourg	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 10.99% 2-1 @ 8.96% 2-0 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 4.3% 3-0 @ 3.8% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.55% 4-0 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.78% Total : 44.11%	1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 7.64% 2-2 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.18%	0-1 @ 8.65% 1-2 @ 7.05% 0-2 @ 4.9% 1-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 1.92% 0-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.68% Total : 29.7%