Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Reims had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-0 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
