Reims' remarkable defensive solidarity will be tested to the extreme against a PSG side expecting to welcome Messi back to action, although the potential loss of Mbappe will increase the pressure on the Argentine's shoulders to deliver.
Pochettino's side were not full value for their victory over Brest for the entire 90 minutes, but an up-and-coming Reims XI should not trouble the runaway leaders too much at the fortress that is the Parc des Princes.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 75.71%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Reims had a probability of 8.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.22%) and 3-0 (10.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Reims win it was 0-1 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
