The hosts will miss Neymar but are potentially fortunate in their timing of meeting Nice, who have hit their first rough patch of form since Galtier took over. As we have learnt, it may be best for PSG to concede first but, either way, we back them to be ahead by the final whistle.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 64.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Nice had a probability of 15.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
