Considering the difference in form between the two teams, Nantes can be considered the favourites to come out on top this weekend, though Montpellier cannot be underestimated and will be fired up as they attempt to turn their fortunes around.
Nantes failed to score in the reverse fixture earlier this season, but we can see them securing a narrow victory on home soil this time around.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 53.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.
