With Gourvennec potentially forced into making two unwanted alterations in defence and dealing with jellied legs in all areas of the pitch, Lille's magnificent defensive streak in Ligue 1 is sure to come to an end at the Beaujoire fortress.
However, Kombouare is dealing with a similar situation for a side whose confidence would have been rocked slightly by the loss to Troyes, and we can only see the two European outsiders shaking hands on a point this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Lille had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
