Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 74.32%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Bordeaux had a probability of 9.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 3-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Bordeaux win it was 0-1 (3.1%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
