SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Lorient | 38 | -28 | 36 |
| 17 | Clermont | 38 | -31 | 36 |
| 18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Reims | 38 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Montpellier HSC | 38 | -12 | 43 |
| 14 | Angers | 38 | -11 | 41 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Clermont | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
47.63% ( 0.02) | 24.76% ( -0) | 27.62% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.89% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.24% ( 0.01) | 47.76% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.05% ( 0.01) | 69.95% ( -0.01) |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.89% ( 0.01) | 20.11% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.64% ( 0.02) | 52.36% ( -0.02) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.71% ( -0) | 31.29% ( 0) |
