Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 60.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 17.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Queretaro win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
