Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.
