Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (10.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Club Leon in this match.
