Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.56%) and 2-1 (7.51%). The likeliest Tigres win was 0-1 (12.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.
